Today’s Eruption Summary
And we’re back to routine, except that Fissure 8’s providing a minor puzzle to keep HVO busy. Yesterday it didn’t exhibit the surge behavior that’s been typical after summit collapses for the week or so. Today, nowhere near the time of a collapse event, “surging was noted at the Fissure 8 cone during the [morning] overflight but had stopped by the time ground crews arrived to verify it.” Otherwise, the channel’s lava level was low this morning. No other were fissures active.
Both the strong southern ocean entry and weak “ooze-outs” north along the edge of the lava delta continue. Onshore, the southern margin of the flow front was reported to be half a mile from the Pohoiki boat ramp this morning. Unfortunately, that flow edge has stalled but not stopped, and a DLNR official warned Isaac Hale Park is still within its sights.
We’re still awaiting the next summit collapse, which looks like it’s going to thwart HVO’s new “Northeast Caldera Rim” livestream by happening at night.
Speaking of the northeast rim, here’s the July 12 collapse event with sound from that vantage point:
Listen to the sound of rockfall in this short video taken from the NE rim of the Kīlauea caldera during the collapse/explosion event on July 12, 2018. https://t.co/bCQ1FlDr4o pic.twitter.com/nvv1IkArHG
— USGS Volcanoes🌋 (@USGSVolcanoes) July 18, 2018
Also out today is this impressive new Kīlauea Digital Elevation Model.
The split-second info card at the end says the floor of Halemaʻumaʻu Crater has dropped 450 m (1480 ft). Prior to the current eruption, it was 85 m (~280 feet) deep. So it’s about 1760 feet deep now. (World Trade Center One is 1776.)
Compare with satellite photo pre-eruption:
2009 digital elevation model via LIDAR:
Here are 3D-rendered images of these great 2009 datasets of #Kilauea I have created couples of years ago. So impressed about the polygonal cracks on the caldera floor.https://t.co/RJWAU8NsSR pic.twitter.com/DKdglkZyt6
— ⚒Fumihiko Ikegami🚢 (@fikgm) May 11, 2018
Last but not least an April 13, 2018 aerial photo:BEFORE the big event: Kilauea caldera, April 13, 2018. USGS (Full-sized)
July 17 Thermal Map
Fresh off the press, new thermal map of Lower East Rift Zone as of 7 am July 17.
Looks like that braided channel that got clogged yesterday is still clogged.
From other Agencies
- Department of Land and Natural Resources official statement: “07/16/18 – Ocean Lava Explosion Injures 23 Passengers on Tour Boat; State and Federal Investigation Underway”
- National Weather Service Honolulu says a tropical cyclone did not form (a possibility raised yesterday), but there will be increased moisture today and tomorrow. (As borne out by fog and/or rain blocking webcam views in late afternoon.) However, the 5-day weather outlook shows 3 other potential systems.
July 17 STeve Brantley (USGS/HVO) Talk
This went up just as I was about to post. I don’t have time to listen now, but Steve Brantley’s slideshows at the Tuesday evening Pahoa Community meetings are always fantastic:
From Other Scientists
- Adam Voiland, NASA Earth Observatory, “Remarkable Images of the Kilauea Eruption You May Have Missed” (the links in that post are also worth browsing)
- Robin Andrews, IFLScience, “A Lava Bomb Just Hit a Tourist Boat in Hawaii“
- Robin Andrews, IFLScience, “The Kilauea Eruption Just Made a Baby Island — But Don’t Get Too Attached To It“
- Not too much news from the wave glider bots yet, but the article linked to in this tweet shows preliminary temperature data for the water in front of the ocean entry:
The #Kilauea volcano eruption gives scientist a rare opportunity to study lava flow impacts on the ocean. #MBARI researchers are using an #autonomous Wave Glider to detect and track thermal fronts around the lava flow. https://t.co/sxmcgs6XXF @LiquidRobotics pic.twitter.com/Lj8ZrViB9x
— MBARI (@MBARI_News) July 17, 2018
From Local News oUtlets
Note that most news sites are carrying a disturbing video from the lava tour boat with a lot of screaming, which doesn’t really provide much info. Except it shows an indistinct glowing shape that may be the lava bomb on deck.
- BIN: “Lava Could Overtake Pohoiki in Next Few Days” Includes excellent overflight video with DLNR officials offering sporadic comments as they inspect ocean entry, Isaac Hale Park, damage to McKenzie State Forest, F8 and lava channel from down low. They say they’ve checked for trapped sea turtles but found none in area.
- HTH: “Lava 750 meters from Pohoiki boat ramp“
- BIVN: “4 pm Eruption Update — Temporary Surging Noted At Lava Channel” –
- BIN: “Mayor Kim Clarifies Individual Assistance With FEMA“
- HTH: “Lava boat captain: ‘It was immense'”
- HNN: “A look at the science behind what caused Monday’s lava explosion” (Janet Babb’s answer in Monday 1 pm USGS media conference call)
- HSA: “Kilauea volcano boat tours continue after lava injuries“
- HNN: “Captain of damaged lava tour boat had been sued for reckless behavior before“
- KITV: “Tour passengers relive lava bomb experience“
- KITV: “Photos: Clean up continues on the boat hit by lava”
- And Dispatches from Volcano pulls out a useful photo he took from Keanakākoʻi overlook area in January; there’s been several photos from this spot.
Mick Kalber July 16 Overflight
Footage from yesterday morning with clear views of formerly-tiny-island peninsula and channel blockages, ocean entry “ooze-outs.”
USGS on Social Media
Right-hand image is similar view to Dispatches from Volcano photo mentioned above.
My wife and two friends enjoyed @Volcanoes_NPS back in mid March before the present festivities. Wonder what the view from this spot on the Crater Rim Rd would be like now? Also, do the Nene know to get the heck out of the area during an eruption? @USGSVolcanoes #kilauea pic.twitter.com/hQhIYaUvH6
— Ed Fujawa (@edfujawa) July 17, 2018
Regarding the view, @USGSVolcanoes pointed to this July 15 photo:
Oh, the HVO website just posted a new Puʻu ʻŌʻō image as well as one that was shared on Twitter a day or two ago:
Q: [Puʻu ʻŌʻō erupted for 35 years starting 1983, but it wasn’t erupting continuously that whole time. Other eruptions in 1970s are considered separate. What determines a new eruption vs. continuation of old one, if there’s a pause?]
USGS: Good question. It’s largely a case of semantics. We can take Mauna Ulu (1969-1974) as an example. It showed various stages of activity for 1969-1971, paused for a few months during 1971-1972, and then started erupting again. Because it was using the same plumbing system, we called it the same eruption (with many episodes), despite the fact that there were also summit eruptions happening at the same time as Mauna Ulu was active. For Pu`u `O`o, we applied the same logic. The first 3 years saw 47 separate fountaining events from Pu`u `O`o (or nearby vents). Since it was the same plumbing system and same behavior, we called these episodes of the same eruption. There was an offshoot from this plumbing system in 1986 that formed Kupaianaha, which was active until 1992, and then it went back to Pu`u `O`o, etc. etc. (the full history is laid out at https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/vol…/kilauea/geo_hist_1983.html). So it was always the same plumbing system, even when there were some pauses, and we therefore called it one eruption with many episodes. With this in mind, you can probably see the challenge in what to do with the current activity. Is it a new eruption? It certainly has traveled into new areas (and therefore involved new parts of the volcano’s plumbing system). But it also is closely related to Pu`u `O`o, in that it started due to a pressure increase there, and the first 12 or so miles of the system are the same as the conduit system used by Pu`u `O`o. So, is this a new eruption, or a new episode of the Pu`u `O`o eruption? We haven’t settled on that yet, and really, it doesn’t matter. But we certainly get that it can be confusing — it confuses us sometimes, too!
Followup: [How do you resolve plumbing? Aren’t Mauna Ulu, Pu’u O’o, Leilani all along same rift zone?/
USGS: They are all along the East Rift Zone, but that’s a pretty wide zone, and magma can crack it’s way along several parallel pathways. As for how we resolve the plumbing, we use a variety of methods in combination — seismic, deformation, geological/structural studies…anything we can get our hands on!
[I just found this photo while rooting around for something else. 1973 Halemaʻumaʻu photo! A little deeper than I remember, I think; there were a few lava flows that reduced its depth between then and 1986.]
Q (Mark Tumminello): Are subsequent collapses at the crater based on increased circumference and mass ? Does collapsed mass it’s weight and associated concussion cause a pressure wave and surge , that can be visually observed at fissure 8 ? Do surges and surge pressure promote underground erosion making the feed to fissure 8 larger in diameter and increasing lava production ?
USGS: Some good questions here, answering in the order they were asked… 1) We are seeing the collapse events expand in scope in terms of the area that is being activated. So the mass that is dropping down does seem to have increased, although the amount of drop of the deepest part might have decreased somewhat while the area expands. It’s hard to tell. 2) If you had asked this last week, we would have said no. but in the last few days we’ve started to see some evidence for surges in lava effusion in the lower East Rift Zone that we think might be related to the collapse events — like a piston pushing down on the top of the magma reservoir. We might not have observed this before because the magma conduit was full, and couldn’t support a surge. That said, a surge-and-lull behavior is becoming common from the vent, so we still have some investigations to do. 3) We don’t think that the conduit is becoming any bigger, and overall, the lava production rate is down somewhat from a couple of weeks ago. It’s hard to know exactly what is happening in the conduit system, since we can’t see it directly, but we think it is most likely that conduits rarely get bigger over time. Instead, they probably evolve from being crack-like to become circular in cross-section (this is the most efficient shape thermally), and then slowly get smaller as magma flow through them wanes.
[Kids ask the darnedest things. Go, kids!]
We'll say probably not, unless they can survive prolonged 1100 C (2012 F) temperatures. Generally organic things carbonize when exposed to those!
— USGS Volcanoes🌋 (@USGSVolcanoes) July 18, 2018
Q: What’s “Type A” mean? [Some post used that term again]
USGS: These are the collapse events. Internally, we call them “Type A” events — this was language we started using among ourselves back in May, when the collapse events were also accompanied by small explosive bursts. Type B events were increased ash emissions with no pressure pulse, and Type C was the normal, persistent degassing/ash emission. Of course, now there are no more Type B or C periods, and the Type A doesn’t have much of an explosive component anymore… A good example of how volcanic activity is so dynamic and evolves over time!
I don’t know who it is, but I can always tell when this geologist is on duty because of Python/LOTR references:
USGS: For those of you asking about the VO46 GPS feed on the HVO website, we can confirm that the station has kicked the bucket, shuffled off its mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the choir invisible. VO46 is an ex-GPS.
[Someone asked if it was visible during overflight and facetiously (?) offered an old Garmin as a replacement.]
USGS: Our overflight confirmed that VO46 was buried under rubble. Kinematic GPS units can cost way upwards of $10,000, not including the solar panels to power them. So we appreciate the offer – but we’ve got them covered!
We're currently in transition. It is difficult to be so scattered, although people have been staying close to both the LERZ and the summit as their duties require. So there has been a bit less driving for some of us!
— USGS Volcanoes🌋 (@USGSVolcanoes) July 18, 2018
[Another question about “sporadic steam plumes” from past week, asking if it suggests something about summit.]
USGS: Steam & dust plumes rise occasionally from the summit – this has been the case for a couple of months now. There is typically more in the morning due to humidity in the air. Frequent earthquakes cause rockfalls then rock dust to rise also.
Q: [Have you noticed short-term pulsing behavior at F8? Any theories?]
USGS: We have at fissure 8 – a few minutes of high flow, a few minutes of low, separate from the surges following Type A collapse/explosion events at the summit. We’re still thinking about why the shorter pulses might be happening.
[Someone notes it’s hard to do observations of Fissure 8 flow level using PG webcam.]
USGS: We’ve got field crews out in the Lower East Rift Zone 24/7, including drone crews who can make flights over the channel to track surges. They’re on it!
Q: Any concrete data on flux? USGS: There is no concrete data on flux. The unknown variables necessary to calculate the data add in a large amount of uncertainty. We don’t see much change from earlier in the eruption, though.
Other Photographers and Social Media
I’m having a little trouble sorting how how these side-by-side (or above-and-below) images work, but here’s an interesting clip from Philip Ong:
Not that this video hasn’t been shown a hundred times already, but the laze-lightning flash, which I noticed on first viewing, isn’t getting much press because of the human side of this story. I wonder if laze lightning has ever been caught on video before.
The HUGE littoral explosion this morning was so intense that lightning was generated in the plume that rose above it at the #KilaueaEruption ocean entry site. @CivilDefenseHI reports 23 injured, some serious. #HIwx pic.twitter.com/aAzDB4ux70
— the Weatherboy (@theWeatherboy) July 16, 2018
I want to call attention to the next photo, but not for the reason you’d expect.
It’s dated to January 2017. (Lava from Puʻu ʻŌʻō was entering the sea near Kalapana at the time.)
I’m seeing a lot of less-than-reputable news sites using this image (unattributed) as if it were a photo of yesterday’s incident rather than taken over a year ago. Some tweets are even doctoring it with the word “live” and a fake Youtube frame and playbutton to make it appear as if it were a still from a video.
A few more from the same album, again, over a year old:
Same photographer, different trip (April 2017).
There’s another 8 photos from two different 2017 lava tour boat trips on this photographer’s instagram. Presumably there were no injuries on that trip, despite the dramatic (and probably color-enhanced) images, or we’d be hearing about how the current incident is a repeat of one last year.